Hanover Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #113
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #24
Crown Point Regional Rank #6
Crown Point Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 1.2%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Crown Point Invitational Dave Walker Invitational Gavit Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Greater South Shore Conf. Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 930 1,048 1,107 1,039 1,046 1,072 998 948 962 992 875
Team Adjusted Rating 969 952 1,039 1,046 1,072 998 944 962 992 875
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Crown Point Invitational Dave Walker Invitational Gavit Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Greater South Shore Conf. Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
497  Madeline Kartz 11 21:18 20:34 20:43 20:44 20:36 21:26 21:04 21:55 21:27 21:41 21:23 21:30
690  Maria Davenport 10 21:51 21:59 21:38 22:37 22:14 21:57 22:18 21:16 21:49 21:37 21:40 22:00
843  Malia Butler 10 22:09 23:49 23:20 23:17 24:04 23:39 23:14 22:35 22:50 22:25 21:47 22:51
1,173  Carina Bolanos 12 22:51 22:24 22:42 22:32 22:58 22:34 22:38 23:15 23:12 23:01
1,300  Mia Sarkey 9 23:09 24:30 24:19 23:58 23:15 22:54 23:28 22:45
1,311  Maya Butler 11 23:10 25:03 24:34 23:46 23:48 23:37 24:29 23:13 23:01 23:24 22:46
1,326  Sabrina Seims 10 23:12 24:55 24:36 25:02 24:15 23:58 23:50 23:24 22:49 22:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 1.2% 18.6 471 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.4
Regionals 100% 6.4 177 1.2 59.3 33.9 5.7
Sectionals 100% 3.5 119 59.1 35.7 5.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madeline Kartz 100% 97.8 100.0% 100.0%
Maria Davenport 94.0% 125.2 93.9% 94.0%
Malia Butler 61.2% 136.5 60.7% 61.1%
Carina Bolanos 1.9% 151.5 0.7% 0.8%
Mia Sarkey 1.2% 159.8 0.0% 0.0%
Maya Butler 1.2% 161.0 0.0% 0.0%
Sabrina Seims 1.2% 161.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madeline Kartz 100% 22.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.6 1.9 2.5 3.4 4.5 5.9 6.5 7.2 8.3 8.6 8.5 8.3 100.0%
Maria Davenport 100% 32.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 100.0%
Malia Butler 100% 37.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Carina Bolanos 100% 49.5 100.0%
Mia Sarkey 100% 53.5 100.0%
Maya Butler 100% 53.8 100.0%
Sabrina Seims 100% 54.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madeline Kartz 13.2 0.2 0.8 1.6 3.6 5.0 7.3 8.9 9.5 11.0 11.7 10.0 10.0 8.0 6.7 3.6 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
Maria Davenport 19.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.1 2.7 4.7 5.4 9.4 12.7 15.1 14.1 12.2 9.2 6.1 3.8
Malia Butler 23.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.6 2.8 5.8 9.1 12.2 15.1 15.7 14.5
Carina Bolanos 29.9 0.2 0.8 1.8
Mia Sarkey 33.4 0.1 0.1
Maya Butler 33.7 0.2
Sabrina Seims 34.1 0.1 0.1